TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FOKUSof FOKUS, Wildcard
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,131
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,131 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1283…0fcdbacked Wildcard0c14,956$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.961464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Wildcard8c5,106$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.081,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wildcard16c4,796$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.673,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Wildcard10c3,634$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.091,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wildcard22c3,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.6330726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Wildcard40c3,086$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.535,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Wildcard14c2,959$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.6687847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd0…c5aebacked Wildcard2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50924.3%4 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed FOKUS64c2,411$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.6737445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed FOKUS60c2,289$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.5716152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked FOKUS73c2,152$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.141,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Wildcard45c2,131$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.2324346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wildcard14c2,073$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.543,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Wildcard36c1,875$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.823343.8%102 W · 131 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed FOKUS55c1,413$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.569850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Wildcard27c1,204$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.632,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Wildcard19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19049646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Wildcard19c725.49$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.781,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Wildcard37c693.38$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5825039.6%99 W · 151 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed FOKUS64c611.56$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.2136554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wildcard13c608.77$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.765,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed Wildcard35c599.95$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9812452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1854…be98backed FOKUS61c585.96$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.521729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaa69…6e45backed Wildcard38c577.68$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.521947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a1…790dbacked FOKUS61c546.9$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.291546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e0…ac15backed Wildcard38c539.17$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.882450%12 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Wildcard27c503.47$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.484,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked FOKUS60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Wildcard22c371.01$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.595,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Wildcard9c367.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.817444.3%77 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Wildcard37c361.63$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.064,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e9…7a6abacked Wildcard27c344.32$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.52245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed FOKUS59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12353945.5%245 W · 294 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Wildcard14c296.25$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.482,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS58c266.14$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.462,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Wildcard37c260.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2269635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Wildcard4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013748.9%67 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FOKUS63c248.24$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8865351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x892b…b4fabacked Wildcard14c189.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.561127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked FOKUS60c164.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9923952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Wildcard13c164.27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.44,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ff…6431backed FOKUS64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0423165.8%152 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Wildcard8c151$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.433,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Wildcard42c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.252,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Wildcard20c123.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.972,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS71c122.87$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.136,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Wildcard26c117.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.966160.7%37 W · 24 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ee9…20a2backed FOKUS64c105.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.846835.3%24 W · 44 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x384d…d538backed FOKUS61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3910951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Wildcard31c93.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7937240.3%150 W · 222 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed FOKUS60c90.76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.322045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed FOKUS65c81.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.578947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Wildcard28c75.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.462,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Wildcard38c63.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.071,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Wildcard20c61.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.512433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Wildcard36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.664439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e6…1001backed FOKUS74c53.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.16785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+89.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed FOKUS63c50.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7121741.5%90 W · 127 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50f4…b728backed Wildcard35c48.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.853754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Wildcard24c45.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.862,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Wildcard26c43.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5947260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Wildcard24c42.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FOKUS65c40.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.187,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a2…3715backed FOKUS64c40.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.441643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d0…6450backed Wildcard37c39.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.433450%17 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…259fbacked FOKUS73c35.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.531353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed FOKUS70c34.08$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.242157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99cd…26f0backed FOKUS64c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.014452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked FOKUS67c30.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.985064%32 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed FOKUS57c29.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.94650%23 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed FOKUS60c29.95$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9815864.6%102 W · 56 L+15.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed FOKUS63c29.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.954961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92e6…8222backed FOKUS73c26.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0522259.9%133 W · 89 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…58c4backed FOKUS63c24.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8911768.4%80 W · 37 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked FOKUS64c23.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.515658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked FOKUS65c23.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.473946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked FOKUS73c23.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4092…f145backed FOKUS64c22.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.265650%28 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked FOKUS64c22.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.242259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked FOKUS64c22.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.182147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed FOKUS64c22.53$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.181764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Wildcard46c21.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1110642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked FOKUS62c20.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.791,08731.9%347 W · 740 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb818…6611backed FOKUS61c19.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.756544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4de2…60acbacked FOKUS62c18.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…51dcbacked FOKUS77c15.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.521675%12 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc26…2f27backed FOKUS74c13.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.53875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.