Lol · resolved market
LoL: LOS vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe93ff421b63cc2c267f0baa55ab7918112b032611c422323f073b01ead5924e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOSof LOS, Leviatan Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7f6…e735backed Leviatan Esports | 0c | 6,117$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked Leviatan Esports | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 71 | 1.4%1 W · 70 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed LOS | 80c | 4,408$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.91 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed LOS | 78c | 3,079$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.98 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Leviatan Esports | 23c | 2,283$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Leviatan Esports | 21c | 1,911$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.54 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed LOS | 78c | 877.33$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Leviatan Esports | 15c | 821.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Leviatan Esports | 22c | 819.49$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.2 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Leviatan Esports | 5c | 750$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Leviatan Esports | 20c | 714$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed LOS | 76c | 499.2$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Leviatan Esports | 8c | 484.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Leviatan Esports | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked LOS | 77c | 198.6$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed LOS | 74c | 147.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leviatan Esports | 15c | 143.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…60afbacked Leviatan Esports | 19c | 125.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…0485backed Leviatan Esports | 21c | 107.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Leviatan Esports | 23c | 86.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Leviatan Esports | 19c | 78.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Leviatan Esports | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Leviatan Esports | 20c | 59.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Leviatan Esports | 20c | 59.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Leviatan Esports | 20c | 59.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked LOS | 77c | 51.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed LOS | 77c | 46.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 854 | 42.7%365 W · 489 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed LOS | 78c | 46.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOS | 78c | 46.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…a09dbacked LOS | 77c | 44.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 131 | 61.1%80 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed LOS | 77c | 34.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked LOS | 75c | 24.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LOS vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)LOS won
- LoL: LOS vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLOS won
- LoL: LOS vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.