TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, Pipsqueak+4
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd20f…2f35backed Virtus.pro59c14,851$8,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,154.23666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pipsqueak+435c6,403$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.682,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…f1abbacked Pipsqueak+41c5,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Pipsqueak+43c3,234$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.359145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Pipsqueak+437c2,366$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.2469644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Virtus.pro56c2,340$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.2614157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Pipsqueak+437c2,323$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.5638855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Pipsqueak+447c2,136$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.7828341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8681…ef99backed Pipsqueak+430c1,996$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.936746.3%31 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro70c1,881$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.811,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed Virtus.pro48c1,733$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.6211742.7%50 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Pipsqueak+456c1,723$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.9161745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Pipsqueak+448c1,595$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.6671342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Pipsqueak+419c1,533$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.091,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Pipsqueak+431c1,378$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.713228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Pipsqueak+428c1,296$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.6939042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Pipsqueak+442c1,220$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.7332652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed Pipsqueak+440c1,210$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.959749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Pipsqueak+425c1,130$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.232638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Pipsqueak+426c1,095$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.6381029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Virtus.pro78c1,017$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4319664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Pipsqueak+450c1,009$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.3915946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Pipsqueak+445c927.91$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.6236759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Pipsqueak+437c900$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3341,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Pipsqueak+469c896.24$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.4467043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Virtus.pro59c792.64$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.8111131.5%35 W · 76 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Virtus.pro50c764$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38237945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Pipsqueak+438c756.67$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8741055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Virtus.pro70c707.58$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.0223342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Pipsqueak+439c683.65$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5597142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Virtus.pro73c673.84$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9451550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Pipsqueak+439c607.03$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6765441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed Pipsqueak+433c594.26$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.454647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro68c561.01$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.742,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Pipsqueak+429c558.79$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8530356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Virtus.pro59c522.04$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.556245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro53c513.6$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.51,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Pipsqueak+428c500.9$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4652649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Pipsqueak+454c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27033541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Pipsqueak+420c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Virtus.pro69c497.08$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6613854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Virtus.pro72c403.3$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1725639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Pipsqueak+425c400.94$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1723653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Pipsqueak+444c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17649455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Virtus.pro76c394.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6256852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Virtus.pro78c380.14$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1255457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Pipsqueak+438c369.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.988539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e7…2779backed Virtus.pro49c364.42$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Virtus.pro76c314.66$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6889938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Virtus.pro43c296.88$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.717353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed Virtus.pro44c285.39$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2720452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Virtus.pro70c280.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.175565.5%36 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Pipsqueak+412c280.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7530647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pipsqueak+432c260.81$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4656243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Virtus.pro67c257$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8125150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Pipsqueak+434c250.29$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4878516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro50c247.87$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.491,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Virtus.pro35c245.58$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.5777941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Virtus.pro38c242.28$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.6516945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Pipsqueak+456c232.32$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7533867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Pipsqueak+425c222.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3553634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Pipsqueak+465c212.73$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.134045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Pipsqueak+433c204.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.537452.7%39 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf483…3f62backed Pipsqueak+447c202.18$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3811150.5%56 W · 55 L+14.2wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Pipsqueak+437c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7429240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Pipsqueak+426c199.97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9937745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Pipsqueak+439c199.45$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1947951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Pipsqueak+422c198.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8841244.7%184 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8232…d12fbacked Virtus.pro76c194.53$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6928062.9%176 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Virtus.pro79c191.1$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4271454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Pipsqueak+431c186.14$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.514341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Virtus.pro62c184.24$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5319440.7%79 W · 115 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Virtus.pro53c183.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro52c182.81$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.082,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…b74fbacked Pipsqueak+450c181.55$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.778848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Pipsqueak+428c178$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8410937.6%41 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Virtus.pro55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.612759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Pipsqueak+446c173.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.753844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Pipsqueak+462c170$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.420043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Pipsqueak+446c167.52$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0630534.4%105 W · 200 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Pipsqueak+448c162.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2929347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Pipsqueak+433c160.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8329350.2%147 W · 146 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c52…677dbacked Pipsqueak+429c156.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.238746%40 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Pipsqueak+446c150.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5169033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1298…97b6backed Virtus.pro68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.16825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x338d…0fe5backed Pipsqueak+49c143.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.281643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Pipsqueak+474c132.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.45862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick75cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaca…51d1backed Virtus.pro78c126.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.566266.1%41 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa42e…59e1backed Virtus.pro62c126.09$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.915549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Pipsqueak+465c125.7$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9320151.2%103 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Pipsqueak+411c124.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6826550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked Virtus.pro70c117.83$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5614762.6%92 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74bb…3b52backed Virtus.pro59c115.1$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.19425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cd…3ca2backed Pipsqueak+421c113.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.826532.3%21 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab27…0c65backed Virtus.pro66c112.8$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.353562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Virtus.pro46c111.65$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.867439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked Virtus.pro68c111.61$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4820738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Pipsqueak+431c110.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.521253.8%114 W · 98 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Virtus.pro55c109.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5564547.8%308 W · 337 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Pipsqueak+431c108.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.585545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.