TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBRof Legacy, MIBR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Legacy41c15,303$6,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,274.1739249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Legacy1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed MIBR58c4,051$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.322049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Legacy42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed MIBR61c2,158$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.6220946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Legacy39c2,120$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.6735236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed MIBR59c936.57$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.9921351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed MIBR59c936.57$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.998552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed MIBR59c936.57$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.997757.1%44 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed MIBR59c936.57$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.9924544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked MIBR59c936.57$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.9912352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed MIBR59c936.57$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.995466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed MIBR59c826.61$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.9111546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked MIBR59c826.61$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.919058.9%53 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR57c777$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.111,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed MIBR59c578.63$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.243138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked MIBR59c495.97$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.353158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Legacy43c486.83$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.348639.5%34 W · 52 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Legacy43c445.52$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5827744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked MIBR59c413.31$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.465658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked MIBR59c413.31$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.463946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked MIBR59c413.31$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.465064%32 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed MIBR59c413.31$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.464555.6%25 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed MIBR59c413.31$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4610347.6%49 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed MIBR59c413.31$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.466854.4%37 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed MIBR59c330.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.566168.9%42 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed MIBR59c330.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.566060%36 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b2…74b8backed MIBR59c280.21$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.291758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked MIBR59c247.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.672259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked MIBR59c247.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.672147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab6a…3319backed Legacy45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.75858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed MIBR57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8623851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed MIBR59c191.82$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.654961.2%30 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed MIBR55c172.22$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.584958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed MIBR59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.787653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed MIBR59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7817756.5%100 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked MIBR59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.785261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked MIBR59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.783847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed MIBR59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.782040%8 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed MIBR59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.788350.6%42 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked MIBR59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.787857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked MIBR59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.783461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed MIBR56c154.24$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8711651.7%60 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed MIBR58c147.51$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9664854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Legacy42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.425143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed MIBR57c119.94$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5723355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed MIBR54c103$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3850947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed MIBR59c99.19$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.673458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Legacy46c99.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3837445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c3e…5329backed Legacy52c99.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.557354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Legacy47c96.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5163541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked MIBR58c84.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2971951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked MIBR59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.893661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked MIBR59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.899758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed MIBR59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.896060%36 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked MIBR59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.892576%19 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed MIBR59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.895459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba2…f46bbacked MIBR59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.891346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed MIBR59c78.03$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.991855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Legacy35c76.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9123057%131 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked MIBR48c72.77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.741,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6347…3047backed Legacy40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2818145.9%83 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bea…7020backed Legacy43c65.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.91637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Legacy42c57.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1318748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed MIBR54c50.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.012,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Legacy42c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5410642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked MIBR59c41.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.951747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed MIBR59c41.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.953056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed MIBR59c41.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.953357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked MIBR59c41.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.957252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed MIBR59c41.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.951353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed MIBR59c39.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.396235.5%22 W · 40 L-9.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3302…489dbacked MIBR58c34.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Legacy43c33.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.481,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked MIBR65c30.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5327848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe99f…0d86backed Legacy51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.561346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410c…2d61backed MIBR59c25.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa520…16cebacked Legacy42c25.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad0…d8e4backed MIBR59c24.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed0b…cbd1backed Legacy46c24.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc578…5c1ebacked MIBR55c21.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.683357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9010…df3ebacked MIBR76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.97580%60 W · 15 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.