TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Pipsqueak+4
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pipsqueak+438c4,517$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.0634544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed L1ga Team60c3,228$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.0554556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Pipsqueak+448c2,750$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.612,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Pipsqueak+436c2,610$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed L1ga Team39c2,498$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.1547650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Pipsqueak+443c2,254$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.6530844.8%138 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ed…9374backed L1ga Team58c2,254$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed L1ga Team55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90022643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Pipsqueak+439c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9919742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Pipsqueak+440c1,836$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Pipsqueak+439c1,826$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.1669644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Pipsqueak+428c1,740$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.5899844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed L1ga Team60c1,740$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.849946.5%46 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team71c1,734$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.6671454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pipsqueak+448c1,502$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.9628748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…8b21backed L1ga Team61c1,446$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.874065%26 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Pipsqueak+438c1,427$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.1462841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Pipsqueak+428c1,396$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7624251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe47c…642abacked L1ga Team59c1,300$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Pipsqueak+453c1,219$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.3851049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Pipsqueak+41c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512217.2%21 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed L1ga Team69c1,074$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.5838855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Pipsqueak+445c1,058$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.0318745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pipsqueak+419c1,019$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0879341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Pipsqueak+449c1,008$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.7267043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Pipsqueak+440c1,004$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.325444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Pipsqueak+41c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13442.3%1 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-89.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed L1ga Team80c999.99$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8681…ef99backed Pipsqueak+440c999.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.996746.3%31 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed L1ga Team56c981.27$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.688539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Pipsqueak+47c980.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.426132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Pipsqueak+424c956.55$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.3189938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed L1ga Team79c884.46$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8411742.7%50 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c49…1d27backed Pipsqueak+440c827.7$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed L1ga Team65c802.93$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.937832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed L1ga Team76c800.73$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3230356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed L1ga Team50c777.05$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.0614251.4%73 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Pipsqueak+438c730.54$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.2123653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed L1ga Team63c690.3$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7320452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Pipsqueak+436c676.4$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2125147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed L1ga Team76c643.89$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7462650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Pipsqueak+433c595.52$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.978728.7%25 W · 62 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked L1ga Team60c594.9$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.183351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pipsqueak+455c586.69$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.8186949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked L1ga Team60c585.6$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.241127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.30per pick57cpaid-42.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed L1ga Team60c563.34$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6511836.4%43 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed L1ga Team60c549.81$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.93862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed L1ga Team70c546.8$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.42751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team44c544.28$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.591,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed L1ga Team63c505.37$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.1517454%94 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Pipsqueak+448c504.58$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.229347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Pipsqueak+440c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Pipsqueak+449c495.4$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3561745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed L1ga Team63c479.1$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5848352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked L1ga Team71c462.38$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2214157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked L1ga Team53c437.31$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5453844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed L1ga Team47c420.33$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.88845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team57c414.56$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.461,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Pipsqueak+427c408.65$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3565337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team46c404.49$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.0729240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed L1ga Team57c400.55$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1664547.8%308 W · 337 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed Pipsqueak+449c398.88$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.44647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked L1ga Team61c390.11$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1413854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Pipsqueak+461c371.11$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5511648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed L1ga Team61c354.01$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1697142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Pipsqueak+430c316.21$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.413844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team64c303.9$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7991356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Pipsqueak+446c292.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4145052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked L1ga Team60c291.34$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5314641.8%61 W · 85 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Pipsqueak+435c290$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.520043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked L1ga Team68c289.93$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7421650.9%110 W · 106 L-25.3wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team42c287.49$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16879343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked L1ga Team58c272.54$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6320738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Pipsqueak+449c271.69$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5632652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x892b…b4fabacked L1ga Team30c271.4$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.63944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked L1ga Team67c270$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.137047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Pipsqueak+440c269.42$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.59045.6%41 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Pipsqueak+475c268$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked L1ga Team46c264.84$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9237945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee54…e5febacked Pipsqueak+476c251.61$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Pipsqueak+447c246.95$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.451,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Pipsqueak+461c241.51$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9830647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Pipsqueak+442c232.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2833867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Pipsqueak+442c230.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.524247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Pipsqueak+446c221.18$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3146150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team59c220.51$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.642,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Pipsqueak+427c215$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9936044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Pipsqueak+429c212.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8285851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Pipsqueak+440c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021045.7%96 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Pipsqueak+436c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7222552.4%118 W · 107 L+26.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d8f…f631backed Pipsqueak+418c197.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.121070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed L1ga Team60c195.2$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0817353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed L1ga Team47c194.37$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3350032.2%161 W · 339 L-47.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Pipsqueak+440c190.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3241050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed Pipsqueak+438c189.47$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7224131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed L1ga Team46c186.74$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9124138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Pipsqueak+443c186.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1651550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Pipsqueak+433c175.24$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.414652.1%76 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Pipsqueak+425c172.55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.148132.1%26 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Pipsqueak+412c171.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0424955.4%138 W · 111 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.