Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x830fdbed266866ee8b76280ad5e27c1110ac623f350117dfb6424f4f3775d5af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pipsqueak+4of L1ga Team, Pipsqueak+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 2,044$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.38 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 43c | 1,996$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.78 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed L1ga Team | 70c | 1,959$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.06 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 1,828$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.07 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 65c | 1,650$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.66 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed L1ga Team | 62c | 1,576$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.2 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 43c | 1,325$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.4 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed L1ga Team | 59c | 1,211$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.48 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Pipsqueak+4 | 74c | 920.01$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.49 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed L1ga Team | 6c | 850$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 30c | 771.25$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.58 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked L1ga Team | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed L1ga Team | 64c | 747.89$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.88 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Pipsqueak+4 | 25c | 601.07$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.77 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 60c | 499.98$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.49 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 67c | 445.53$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.96 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 45c | 404.65$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.82 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 381.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.34 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked L1ga Team | 51c | 347.26$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.62 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Pipsqueak+4 | 65c | 325.82$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.07 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 301.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.09 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked L1ga Team | 80c | 297.96$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.11 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed L1ga Team | 59c | 287$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.33 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 28c | 226.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed L1ga Team | 53c | 225.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Pipsqueak+4 | 34c | 216.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team | 56c | 204$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…c5ffbacked L1ga Team | 64c | 202.29$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed L1ga Team | 23c | 200.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 63c | 200.13$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked L1ga Team | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed L1ga Team | 22c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed L1ga Team | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed L1ga Team | 20c | 197.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed L1ga Team | 61c | 195.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…f8d0backed L1ga Team | 27c | 178.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed L1ga Team | 68c | 143.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 138.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed L1ga Team | 79c | 137.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…247cbacked L1ga Team | 41c | 136.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 122.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed L1ga Team | 66c | 120.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 106.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 100.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.72 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 88.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 33c | 85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 84.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked L1ga Team | 23c | 74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 34c | 71.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed L1ga Team | 29c | 53.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 48.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…0485backed L1ga Team | 60c | 39.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 36.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…515dbacked L1ga Team | 40c | 36.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…0a78backed Pipsqueak+4 | 41c | 35.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…57d9backed L1ga Team | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 28.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 68c | 28.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…843cbacked L1ga Team | 60c | 27.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked L1ga Team | 61c | 25.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked L1ga Team | 64c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c1…89f7backed L1ga Team | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…2f49backed L1ga Team | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…b61cbacked L1ga Team | 61c | 17.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group BL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.