CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3c742565c48d00484f4bee838bea1e0a198c936090f63b8718bde19622b7084
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof KOLESIE, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE | 72c | 3,099$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.12 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HyperSpirit | 28c | 2,310$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.53 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit | 28c | 750$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed KOLESIE | 32c | 376.86$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked KOLESIE | 71c | 278.55$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.77 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HyperSpirit | 68c | 148.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked HyperSpirit | 26c | 124.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HyperSpirit | 70c | 115.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HyperSpirit | 43c | 104.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed KOLESIE | 12c | 98.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed HyperSpirit | 73c | 97.45$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked HyperSpirit | 29c | 86.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HyperSpirit | 25c | 85.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked HyperSpirit | 31c | 78.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE | 75c | 74.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked HyperSpirit | 29c | 63.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed HyperSpirit | 29c | 47.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed KOLESIE | 63c | 20.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked KOLESIE | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.