Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FALKE ESPORTS vs Melilla Titans (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x548f282899155b97b2f73333d24328aedc9304f268e7c2a25e2df2156d5bd613
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FALKE ESPORTSof FALKE ESPORTS, Melilla Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed FALKE ESPORTS | 75c | 1,165$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.34 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Melilla Titans | 21c | 695.7$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…85bebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 62c | 472.28$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Melilla Titans | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Melilla Titans | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Melilla Titans | 23c | 286.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Melilla Titans | 10c | 273.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Melilla Titans | 25c | 232.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Melilla Titans | 35c | 160.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed FALKE ESPORTS | 64c | 138.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed FALKE ESPORTS | 63c | 127.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Melilla Titans | 40c | 120.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked Melilla Titans | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Melilla Titans | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Melilla Titans | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Melilla Titans | 39c | 96.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 67c | 92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Melilla Titans | 32c | 88.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…f6d2backed FALKE ESPORTS | 74c | 84.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 71c | 82.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Melilla Titans | 31c | 78.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Melilla Titans | 37c | 63.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Melilla Titans | 33c | 59.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…ddb1backed FALKE ESPORTS | 63c | 58.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Melilla Titans | 26c | 55.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Melilla Titans | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Melilla Titans | 23c | 46.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Melilla Titans | 37c | 38.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Melilla Titans | 38c | 37.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Melilla Titans | 37c | 35.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked FALKE ESPORTS | 63c | 31.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed FALKE ESPORTS | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 79c | 24.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed FALKE ESPORTS | 61c | 23.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FALKE ESPORTS vs Melilla Titans (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: FALKE ESPORTS vs Melilla Titans - Map 1 WinnerFALKE ESPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.