Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FALKE ESPORTS vs Melilla Titans - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd262f52441f69774729f1e97e09b963e230f55da307a9727a4e6896b9a0664f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FALKE ESPORTSof FALKE ESPORTS, Melilla Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 75c | 3,010$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.37 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed FALKE ESPORTS | 72c | 2,842$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.37 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Melilla Titans | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Melilla Titans | 32c | 900$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Melilla Titans | 35c | 781$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.56 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Melilla Titans | 17c | 551.12$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 79c | 440.07$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Melilla Titans | 29c | 309.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Melilla Titans | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Melilla Titans | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Melilla Titans | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Melilla Titans | 26c | 235.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Melilla Titans | 33c | 225$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Melilla Titans | 21c | 207.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Melilla Titans | 21c | 190.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed FALKE ESPORTS | 77c | 182.45$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Melilla Titans | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Melilla Titans | 23c | 143.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed Melilla Titans | 25c | 142.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Melilla Titans | 31c | 114.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked Melilla Titans | 25c | 109.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Melilla Titans | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…ddb1backed FALKE ESPORTS | 79c | 62.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Melilla Titans | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed FALKE ESPORTS | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Melilla Titans | 42c | 28.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Melilla Titans | 42c | 28.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed FALKE ESPORTS | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed FALKE ESPORTS | 72c | 19.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FALKE ESPORTS vs Melilla Titans - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FALKE ESPORTS vs Melilla Titans (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 PlayoffsFALKE ESPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.