Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe00adcf9a4735047de103476cd1f001094ee09d5664822c83895d5521b301f6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f1c…55e4backed No | 79c | 508.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 48 | 87.5%42 W · 6 L | +12.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +49%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Yes | 65c | 421.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.47 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 14c | 392.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…b385backed No | 38c | 329.68$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 16c | 285.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…b91bbacked Yes | 16c | 251.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed Yes | 53c | 249.98$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 14c | 241.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 38c | 211.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 23c | 199.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…e5babacked No | 45c | 187.37$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 15c | 158.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed Yes | 54c | 158.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 63c | 157.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 76c | 154.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 41c | 152.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 25c | 139.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 16c | 129.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 124$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…278ebacked Yes | 15c | 123.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 434 | 30.9%134 W · 300 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 24c | 121.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 77c | 120.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 43c | 110.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 92.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…b2b8backed Yes | 12c | 91.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 17c | 89.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Yes | 42c | 89.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 20c | 88.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…31b1backed Yes | 12c | 87.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…727bbacked Yes | 24c | 86.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 18c | 84.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…7428backed Yes | 19c | 76.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 29c | 70.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 52c | 69.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 32c | 65.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…e3babacked Yes | 65c | 62.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 62.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…38a6backed No | 56c | 60.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 40c | 59.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…bd5dbacked Yes | 71c | 56.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a02…b863backed Yes | 74c | 54.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…ec75backed Yes | 71c | 50.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…9feabacked No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…b858backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…3257backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed No | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 42c | 47.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 36c | 46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 80c | 44.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5278…5306backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 41c | 40.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b28…5b76backed Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 134 | 16.4%22 W · 112 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…da69backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5f31backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 289 | 46.4%134 W · 155 L | -14.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 60c | 39.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 38.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…ce94backed No | 50c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 41c | 36.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…931cbacked Yes | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 35c | 30.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…f375backed Yes | 42c | 29.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…e362backed No | 51c | 27.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +62%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 53c | 27.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…5749backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked Yes | 67c | 24.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 230 | 60.9%140 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…f420backed Yes | 44c | 23.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 64c | 22.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 50c | 21.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…8eeabacked No | 49c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 78c | 20.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 74c | 20.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.