Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfdc708c74dc94a7589d2be98f056166bb3d07d61b98b59b4f207a5d6e14abe8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Frankfurtof Dortmund eSports, Eintracht Frankfurt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Dortmund eSports | 10c | 2,564$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dortmund eSports | 16c | 1,330$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.46 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dortmund eSports | 11c | 1,250$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dortmund eSports | 7c | 1,149$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Dortmund eSports | 2c | 999.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Dortmund eSports | 30c | 989.72$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.77 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dortmund eSports | 10c | 794.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Dortmund eSports | 22c | 570.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Dortmund eSports | 12c | 492.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 74c | 368.27$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Dortmund eSports | 16c | 330$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 60c | 320.04$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dortmund eSports | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Dortmund eSports | 16c | 287.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Dortmund eSports | 15c | 217.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Dortmund eSports | 30c | 198$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Dortmund eSports | 13c | 195$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Dortmund eSports | 20c | 187.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Dortmund eSports | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 75c | 148.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dortmund eSports | 20c | 134.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Dortmund eSports | 23c | 122.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 76c | 104.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Dortmund eSports | 29c | 98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Dortmund eSports | 32c | 97.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dortmund eSports | 30c | 95.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Dortmund eSports | 13c | 84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Dortmund eSports | 23c | 79.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Dortmund eSports | 25c | 77.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 76c | 70.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Dortmund eSports | 29c | 58.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Dortmund eSports | 22c | 55.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 71c | 46.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 67c | 32.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 1 WinnerEintracht Frankfurt won
- Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Map 2 WinnerDortmund eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.