Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Execration (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5883fd55adc0ac54b0c8aee037bf31ebebd3838d6de9c7f05eae870f9f0d09a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 27,232$13,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,021.56 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Execration | 46c | 8,353$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,827.56 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Execration | 61c | 7,635$4,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,671.04 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Execration | 51c | 7,388$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.89 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 6,001$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.58 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Execration | 42c | 4,481$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Execration | 36c | 3,008$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.43 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Execration | 48c | 2,499$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.51 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Execration | 21c | 2,435$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.47 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…de25backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,118$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Execration | 37c | 1,826$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.15 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Execration | 64c | 1,581$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.43 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…1094backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…6aedbacked Execration | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,455$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.01 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Execration | 34c | 1,284$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.46 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Execration | 36c | 1,280$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.79 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,252$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.06 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Execration | 44c | 1,200$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…d4b2backed Execration | 49c | 1,090$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Execration | 42c | 891$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.6 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Execration | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Execration | 36c | 758.81$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.94 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…2eb8backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 723.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 683.44$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.87 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 649.92$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…d9d3backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 633.31$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Execration | 36c | 615.83$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.39 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Execration | 3c | 610.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 565.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.86 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Execration | 55c | 547.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Execration | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 470.6$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.41 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Execration | 37c | 444.39$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 420$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 398$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Execration | 45c | 396.16$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.21 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 378.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 375$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 375$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Execration | 35c | 360.22$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.25 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Execration | 43c | 353.93$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Execration | 30c | 345.11$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Execration | 41c | 325.17$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 323.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Execration | 22c | 320.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Execration | 38c | 319.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Execration | 20c | 313.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 303.14$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Execration | 33c | 301.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Execration | 39c | 299.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 291$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 290$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Execration | 38c | 280.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Execration | 29c | 270$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Execration | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588f…c497backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 240.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Execration | 10c | 234.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 218.92$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Execration | 53c | 216$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Execration | 39c | 207.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Execration | 10c | 201.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Execration | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Execration | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b00…7cbbbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 199.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Execration | 44c | 198.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 175.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Execration | 38c | 169.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 161.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…6f62backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Execration | 38c | 159.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Execration | 43c | 153.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 147.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 146.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Execration | 41c | 146.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 145$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Execration | 64c | 141.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 131.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…77c4backed Execration | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Execration | 53c | 121.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…099abacked Execration | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Execration | 38c | 112.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Execration | 37c | 111.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 108.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…ca43backed Execration | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f0aebacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Execration | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 93.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.