Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb640a3346b4da9022ea7ca012470930bf934602319356ec1ec784df674b7a50b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakult Brothersof Execration, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Execration | 53c | 27,274$14,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,573.96 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakult Brothers | 37c | 14,763$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,268.53 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Yakult Brothers | 73c | 6,412$4,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.44 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 6,000$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.56 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Yakult Brothers | 51c | 5,338$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.64 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Execration | 64c | 3,511$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.2 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 3,147$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.76 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Yakult Brothers | 50c | 2,098$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.24 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Execration | 48c | 1,856$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.93 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 1,824$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.94 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Yakult Brothers | 57c | 1,372$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.24 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yakult Brothers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Execration | 65c | 922.99$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Yakult Brothers | 52c | 799.99$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c07…25d3backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 757.06$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Execration | 46c | 635.85$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.85 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Execration | 62c | 623.1$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.74 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Execration | 70c | 571.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Execration | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yakult Brothers | 54c | 424.16$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yakult Brothers | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Execration | 52c | 385.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 345.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.68 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Execration | 72c | 335.29$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 323.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Execration | 54c | 319.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.26 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Execration | 52c | 315.11$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 308.93$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.51 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 289.58$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 258.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Execration | 52c | 248.75$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 240$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 211.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Execration | 54c | 186$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Execration | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yakult Brothers | 55c | 178.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yakult Brothers | 54c | 175$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 171.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Yakult Brothers | 48c | 131.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ff…4303backed Execration | 49c | 110.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…c03abacked Execration | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36a9…c1d3backed Execration | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b0…de80backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5ad4backed Execration | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Yakult Brothers | 50c | 99.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Yakult Brothers | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…09f1backed Execration | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakult Brothers | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…a48cbacked Yakult Brothers | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…cfc0backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 55.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Execration | 61c | 55.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b21dbacked Yakult Brothers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 54.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked Yakult Brothers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 146 | 68.5%100 W · 46 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…0db1backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…db07backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 40.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Yakult Brothers | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…4940backed Execration | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 36.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…1094backed Execration | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…29febacked Execration | 64c | 16.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers (BO3)Yakult Brothers won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerYakult Brothers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.