La Liga · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bfe52da27fe7d565a32e15af43e120bd12c4481ff1ef65fc82df3d9382770f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 42c | 422.23$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.21 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Yes | 58c | 402.96$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 399.42$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.46 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Yes | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 315$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.85 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 41c | 272.58$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.82 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c081backed Yes | 56c | 184.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…2589backed Yes | 59c | 172.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 44c | 156.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.45 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Yes | 54c | 147$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 64c | 117.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 57c | 110.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…0acebacked No | 46c | 107.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356d…0eccbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 42c | 74.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc050…2f67backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Yes | 59c | 51.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…0733backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…8a7bbacked Yes | 32c | 44.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…f150backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…42f0backed Yes | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2a56backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2622…cd2cbacked Yes | 61c | 20.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.