La Liga · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91245bda5d419c1a003e3a416a1ddd38f02273809c0cced7e7f8a1e3edf3d5ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74c9…d064backed Over | 65c | 2,775$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 1,822$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.15 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 1,416$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.5 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 33c | 746.95$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.49 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 67c | 525.37$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.37 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 34c | 474.09$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.46 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 33c | 416.56$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.12 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 63c | 395.25$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.24 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Over | 63c | 387.83$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 67c | 298.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 63c | 158.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 36c | 150.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…ba0dbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 36c | 101.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 62c | 99.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 64c | 94.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 36c | 82.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 66c | 57.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…4255backed Over | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…99bebacked Over | 72c | 41.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…3579backed Over | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Over | 66c | 35.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be2…4c5bbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…c9d1backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Over | 67c | 29.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0318…d067backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Over | 63c | 17.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 72c | 15.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.