La Liga · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0ee72fb6c910d2cf773279237a8fcf40fe4220b34e4b0d81c1bc06098303552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 63c | 1,150$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.51 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 45c | 635.7$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 583.57$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 43c | 521$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.44 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 57c | 444$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fe…e803backed Over | 59c | 204.64$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 52c | 167.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 163.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 58c | 129$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 45c | 105.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…d049backed Over | 55c | 75.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 58c | 64.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 62.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6881…525dbacked Under | 58c | 53.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a485backed Over | 76c | 44.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 46c | 40.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…0733backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 33c | 38.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…f150backed Under | 64c | 38.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 67c | 32.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…99bebacked Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 43c | 23.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Over | 54c | 18.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.