La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac83ef90fb676d6ca984eb5ca563305f24208fdddbb35e6dd90501f9797c43f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Barcelona, Athletic Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Athletic Club | 56c | 22,694$12,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,708.57 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Barcelona | 50c | 13,299$6,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,701.15 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Barcelona | 44c | 4,257$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.82 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…408dbacked Athletic Club | 44c | 4,021$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Barcelona | 46c | 1,310$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Barcelona | 50c | 1,161$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.64 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Barcelona | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Barcelona | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Athletic Club | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Barcelona | 45c | 440$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Athletic Club | 51c | 433.47$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.25 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed Barcelona | 47c | 428.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Athletic Club | 55c | 344.11$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.26 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Barcelona | 46c | 289.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.01 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Barcelona | 46c | 276.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Barcelona | 47c | 274.06$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +335.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Athletic Club | 54c | 239.13$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Barcelona | 68c | 235$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Barcelona | 45c | 232.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Barcelona | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Barcelona | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…bf68backed Barcelona | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Athletic Club | 56c | 178.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Barcelona | 45c | 171.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletic Club | 54c | 151.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Barcelona | 55c | 124$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Barcelona | 46c | 118.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…9478backed Barcelona | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Barcelona | 45c | 111.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Barcelona | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Barcelona | 45c | 106.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Barcelona | 45c | 103.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Athletic Club | 53c | 102.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1e…48c4backed Barcelona | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Athletic Club | 53c | 88.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Athletic Club | 54c | 85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Athletic Club | 53c | 74.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Barcelona | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Barcelona | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Athletic Club | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Athletic Club | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Barcelona | 44c | 59.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Barcelona | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Barcelona | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Athletic Club | 54c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Barcelona | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Barcelona | 63c | 44.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Barcelona | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Barcelona | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Athletic Club | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Athletic Club | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Athletic Club | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Barcelona | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Barcelona | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Barcelona | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Athletic Club | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Athletic Club | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Athletic Club | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Athletic Club | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Athletic Club | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Athletic Club | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Athletic Club | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Athletic Club | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Barcelona | 44c | 28.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Barcelona | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Barcelona | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Barcelona | 45c | 23.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Athletic Club | 57c | 21.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Athletic Club | 53c | 19.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Athletic Club | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6881…525dbacked Athletic Club | 57c | 18.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)this page
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.