Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadbf5062b5f111d2288acda97cfd6669b0481148e19ea185abf0535d76eaad48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 6c | 4,660$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.42 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 2,221$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.62 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 50c | 1,964$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 1,919$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.39 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Yes | 36c | 1,536$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…9fa3backed No | 56c | 1,502$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed No | 58c | 1,238$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 1,181$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.44 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 37c | 1,054$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…22cbbacked Yes | 36c | 1,035$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked No | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…13f2backed No | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 41c | 677.69$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.68 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed Yes | 42c | 633$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed Yes | 44c | 624$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed Yes | 44c | 619$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked No | 56c | 618$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…99f7backed Yes | 42c | 605$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked Yes | 44c | 524$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 37c | 522.52$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 36c | 509.79$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…5ad5backed Yes | 44c | 505$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…b18ebacked Yes | 44c | 473$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 56c | 469$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes | 43c | 413$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 44c | 405.94$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 36c | 351.3$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed Yes | 37c | 339.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Yes | 44c | 227.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 37c | 221.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 38c | 212.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7209…b3c1backed Yes | 36c | 205.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 57c | 204.49$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 39c | 158.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 57c | 137.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d64…6b35backed Yes | 39c | 125.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…de6abacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 66c | 86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 44c | 75.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 27c | 68.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 34c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 66c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 35c | 52.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 41c | 48.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 51c | 39.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed No | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…2651backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 60c | 32.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 43c | 32.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 46c | 30.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 42c | 30.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…b855backed Yes | 38c | 27.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 64c | 17.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?this page
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.