Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fbf80ff132e921effa31aef5d8417798a7b795233f200fd589023e9c1430a25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 50c | 7,438$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.49 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 5,600$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.36 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked No | 69c | 4,036$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 67c | 2,542$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.07 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed No | 60c | 2,282$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 24c | 2,046$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.19 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 40c | 1,350$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed No | 57c | 1,012$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 41c | 1,005$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…3d09backed No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 73c | 999$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.25 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 40c | 987.05$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 24c | 899.67$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.49 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 29c | 842$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.78 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Yes | 29c | 800$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 71c | 800$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 29c | 687.06$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.81 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 28c | 438.68$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.85 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…22cbbacked Yes | 51c | 336.85$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7209…b3c1backed No | 60c | 318.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 71c | 312$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.52 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 28c | 240$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked No | 71c | 219.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 207$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 67c | 194.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 148.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 71c | 113$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed No | 71c | 112.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 33c | 108$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed No | 70c | 69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 68.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 68c | 58.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 21c | 56.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 49c | 48.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 40c | 35.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 30.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Yes | 76c | 25.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…8883backed Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…6de6backed Yes | 76c | 24.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked No | 74c | 20.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 79c | 12.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.