Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25cac24a246bb54557161f30acad3353b715404d3af129c6fae3fa2146a54cdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked No | 55c | 2,284$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +153.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 2,022$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.54 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…7359backed Yes | 25c | 1,114$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…f1ccbacked Yes | 23c | 1,044$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…7572backed No | 75c | 1,011$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 1,007$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.51 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…d705backed No | 75c | 966$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ce…2213backed Yes | 25c | 863$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 842.07$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked Yes | 45c | 798$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed Yes | 45c | 761$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed Yes | 45c | 725$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 23c | 682.83$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 24c | 629.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 23c | 480$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…2ebdbacked No | 77c | 450$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…22cbbacked Yes | 30c | 349.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…3d09backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 27c | 299.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 23c | 298.07$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 19c | 119.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed No | 65c | 117.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 14c | 96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed No | 77c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258a…52a2backed Yes | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 32c | 60.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked Yes | 47c | 24.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.