CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e0d490d95efcfcac8ae1f4a12ae380fe0377f4ccddb338d724dcc70a33ef93c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Over | 50c | 7,280$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…bf4dbacked Under | 50c | 6,151$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 50c | 746.12$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.06 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 48c | 296.63$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 49c | 270.09$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.34 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Over | 50c | 245.16$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.54 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…0cf1backed Over | 56c | 227.12$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Over | 50c | 199.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 16c | 184.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over | 55c | 166.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…20eebacked Over | 48c | 158.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…1a78backed Over | 46c | 145.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 45c | 116.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 41c | 103.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Over | 52c | 96.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4e…5ecbbacked Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…a091backed Over | 50c | 69.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Over | 52c | 50.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Over | 50c | 39.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…1ce9backed Over | 54c | 36.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Under | 48c | 29.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e7…d7a8backed Over | 50c | 25.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a5…64fabacked Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…f556backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eda…e2aabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…619bbacked Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…6e03backed Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.