CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c66457b73d46df7a880282c2bdd9149f336fac0ff7c2070092b0954d5b0e1b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof Spirit, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed FURIA | 68c | 8,706$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.03 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA | 68c | 965.79$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.21 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed FURIA | 68c | 811$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.52 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Spirit | 30c | 636.67$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.77 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit | 32c | 527$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.64 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked FURIA | 70c | 460$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed FURIA | 68c | 365.46$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Spirit | 32c | 314.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FURIA | 65c | 147.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…7b83backed Spirit | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked Spirit | 34c | 107.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Spirit | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked FURIA | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed FURIA | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FURIA | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebd…6dc0backed FURIA | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 137 | 67.9%93 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…e618backed FURIA | 68c | 28.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed FURIA | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.