CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69a9f82946db864ef134bece1e61b82c2dedfaeef4b8f1bffd1d1cecba621cc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof Spirit, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $527,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $637,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 34c | 39,603$13,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,602.54 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked FURIA | 65c | 20,512$13,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,095.72 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed FURIA | 51c | 13,059$6,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,449.45 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c277backed Spirit | 47c | 11,647$5,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,433.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Spirit | 49c | 8,327$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080.02 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed FURIA | 51c | 6,276$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.34 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Spirit | 45c | 6,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed FURIA | 49c | 5,900$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.99 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed Spirit | 50c | 5,570$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA | 49c | 5,297$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.52 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Spirit | 35c | 5,177$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.3 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spirit | 37c | 5,122$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.81 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 26c | 5,025$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.57 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Spirit | 50c | 4,791$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.82 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Spirit | 51c | 4,776$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.74 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 27c | 4,724$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.49 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit | 23c | 4,457$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.97 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…4a2abacked Spirit | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4adc…f155backed FURIA | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Spirit | 16c | 3,931$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.24 | 568 | 22.5%128 W · 440 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Spirit | 25c | 3,751$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.22 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Spirit | 50c | 2,743$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit | 37c | 2,529$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.76 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e63…e021backed Spirit | 7c | 2,435$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Spirit | 47c | 2,194$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.15 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed FURIA | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed FURIA | 73c | 1,863$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.38 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Spirit | 52c | 1,783$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.9 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Spirit | 37c | 1,760$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.87 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Spirit | 33c | 1,687$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.2 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e1…7b0abacked Spirit | 46c | 1,601$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.51 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Spirit | 47c | 1,601$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.4 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…b6ecbacked Spirit | 27c | 1,500$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 26c | 1,410$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.57 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked FURIA | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…b2b5backed Spirit | 31c | 1,393$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.4 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Spirit | 53c | 1,329$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.69 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed FURIA | 74c | 1,327$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.39 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed FURIA | 62c | 1,189$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.08 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed FURIA | 38c | 1,176$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.41 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Spirit | 21c | 1,165$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.45 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed FURIA | 75c | 1,158$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.35 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed Spirit | 30c | 1,145$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.59 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked FURIA | 41c | 1,103$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.48 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Spirit | 35c | 1,053$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.82 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…df31backed Spirit | 17c | 1,029$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Spirit | 43c | 1,009$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked FURIA | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked FURIA | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…c4d7backed Spirit | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5f2cbacked Spirit | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit | 33c | 977.49$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.91 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed FURIA | 50c | 942.34$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.97 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…4ecebacked Spirit | 41c | 900$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…ae8ebacked Spirit | 8c | 899.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…5104backed Spirit | 9c | 862.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Spirit | 32c | 804$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.47 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Spirit | 50c | 774.8$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…5ff1backed Spirit | 27c | 753.66$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.81 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Spirit | 51c | 722.2$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.32 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Spirit | 27c | 719.18$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.62 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…5df8backed FURIA | 64c | 717.34$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed FURIA | 65c | 717.26$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Spirit | 25c | 708.94$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Spirit | 42c | 699.95$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.98 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 50c | 642.34$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.17 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Spirit | 15c | 636.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FURIA | 48c | 636.46$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.61 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Spirit | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…a7acbacked Spirit | 26c | 583.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed Spirit | 7c | 579.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Spirit | 28c | 577.12$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.99 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…f83dbacked Spirit | 51c | 558.8$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Spirit | 30c | 542.65$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Spirit | 62c | 531.17$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.25 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Spirit | 28c | 522.03$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.63 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Spirit | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed FURIA | 68c | 511.9$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1b44backed Spirit | 22c | 510.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed FURIA | 66c | 502.12$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.92 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Spirit | 18c | 444.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…82eebacked Spirit | 48c | 443.41$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Spirit | 50c | 440.53$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27fc…6475backed Spirit | 19c | 417.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Spirit | 35c | 405$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.41 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed FURIA | 40c | 400.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.13 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked FURIA | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cea…fb39backed Spirit | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Spirit | 37c | 399.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Spirit | 48c | 399.68$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…441ebacked Spirit | 56c | 398.02$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked Spirit | 51c | 393.2$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.53 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Spirit | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed FURIA | 66c | 388.27$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…40bbbacked Spirit | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Spirit | 44c | 340$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Spirit | 37c | 325.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.28 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd308…07bdbacked Spirit | 32c | 313.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.