CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57fa92047511604ad89bebad85f9597a08c7fe40f8c1259ab8c726cbf557c85f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 57c | 2,039$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.46 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Over | 56c | 1,624$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Over | 48c | 1,457$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.46 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 52c | 1,064$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.86 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 76c | 929.07$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.21 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Over | 49c | 557.71$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.28 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 20c | 475.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 340.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 51c | 310.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 13c | 302.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 207.87$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over | 51c | 196.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Over | 55c | 181.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cf…fe60backed Over | 57c | 169.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 155.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…4dcebacked Over | 41c | 82.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Over | 18c | 74.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 34c | 70.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Under | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Over | 20c | 58.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Under | 50c | 41.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed Over | 44c | 35.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Over | 56c | 35.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc967…5a9cbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Under | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 66c | 17.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.