CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x534b5094842a65f7524722af99c9512dde2f12df3a2ef4eb66b9d8dea29c584d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Team Falcons | 39c | 930.31$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.78 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Liquid | 61c | 905.77$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.52 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Team Falcons | 40c | 439.83$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.9 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Liquid | 60c | 334.97$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.98 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid | 57c | 263.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Liquid | 59c | 171.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Liquid | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed Team Falcons | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…df3abacked Team Falcons | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2674…faafbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 38c | 49.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…461ebacked Liquid | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…d140backed Liquid | 73c | 27.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -47%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc022…3da2backed Liquid | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed Team Falcons | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Liquid | 61c | 21.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.