CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9564c6c44d3cf3d5e327a7d67cd585c393ffc986e0a6c51d6f1573b489fded4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked | 53c | 5,775$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.59 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed TDK | 62c | 5,429$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.83 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 41c | 4,255$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.62 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked TDK | 43c | 3,333$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.12 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 57c | 2,351$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.06 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TDK | 66c | 2,162$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.53 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed TDK | 53c | 1,791$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.82 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked TDK | 39c | 995.63$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.33 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 44c | 963$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.96 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK | 51c | 770.5$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.87 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lavked | 52c | 709.33$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.11 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Lavked | 42c | 683.91$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.53 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Lavked | 30c | 623.35$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Lavked | 44c | 622.02$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.06 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lavked | 44c | 584.47$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.54 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed TDK | 64c | 539$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.37 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lavked | 46c | 517.88$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.81 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked TDK | 70c | 501.67$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…16a6backed Lavked | 38c | 500$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lavked | 43c | 499.8$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.33 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed TDK | 62c | 452$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.76 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked TDK | 37c | 429.02$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.94 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lavked | 65c | 382.85$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.79 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 52c | 375.31$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TDK | 30c | 350.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.26 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lavked | 58c | 346.16$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.45 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…5e93backed Lavked | 43c | 331.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…851abacked Lavked | 44c | 331.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TDK | 54c | 291.54$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.77 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lavked | 51c | 287.47$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Lavked | 51c | 283.8$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.74 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a9f8backed Lavked | 37c | 282.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed TDK | 63c | 275$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Lavked | 31c | 243.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked TDK | 47c | 214.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Lavked | 37c | 188$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed TDK | 71c | 185$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 180 | 57.2%103 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lavked | 40c | 185$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TDK | 37c | 180.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.29 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Lavked | 56c | 178.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 46c | 177.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed TDK | 46c | 174.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lavked | 57c | 165.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed TDK | 50c | 164.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Lavked | 60c | 149.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b67…e56cbacked Lavked | 27c | 124.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Lavked | 60c | 102.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked TDK | 64c | 101.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d34…9bc2backed Lavked | 55c | 88.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 53c | 84.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed TDK | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed TDK | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Lavked | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked TDK | 67c | 58.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed TDK | 47c | 55.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed TDK | 45c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…396dbacked Lavked | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed TDK | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lavked | 54c | 48.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…ffcabacked TDK | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Lavked | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…59c8backed TDK | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Lavked | 55c | 38.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…e362backed Lavked | 55c | 37.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed Lavked | 42c | 35.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Lavked | 38c | 34.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lavked | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…d68fbacked TDK | 45c | 33.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Lavked | 42c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed TDK | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed TDK | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked TDK | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed TDK | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed TDK | 70c | 27.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Lavked | 47c | 25.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Lavked | 59c | 25.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed TDK | 53c | 24.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked TDK | 63c | 22.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…0fbbbacked TDK | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.