CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x493173f9de91857c63b196eda7582a659c1354228f5729e07bfb43f96f2f7e72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof TDK, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9919…f261backed Lavked | 56c | 759.39$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.39 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 37c | 691.89$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.89 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked TDK | 63c | 615.79$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.79 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lavked | 34c | 585.53$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.45 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked TDK | 66c | 231.4$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.72 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lavked | 68c | 195.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked TDK | 41c | 178.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TDK | 29c | 178$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK | 46c | 175.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TDK | 30c | 162$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked TDK | 66c | 145.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TDK | 21c | 145$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lavked | 75c | 139.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 47c | 130.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 30c | 120.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 29c | 115.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TDK | 34c | 112.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TDK | 14c | 73.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed TDK | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Lavked | 38c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed TDK | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed TDK | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…ffcabacked TDK | 32c | 49.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked TDK | 33c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Lavked | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group StageTDK won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.