CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb9f6598bb942ce4078159ab24e70fb212c4c335bcfbc50e8ceee964948533b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lavked | 39c | 6,519$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.91 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Lavked | 43c | 5,407$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.78 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lavked | 29c | 3,264$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.09 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…1262backed TDK | 66c | 3,180$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.8 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed TDK | 65c | 3,177$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.85 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lavked | 37c | 2,481$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.17 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked TDK | 55c | 2,146$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.03 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked TDK | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed TDK | 50c | 1,847$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.73 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Lavked | 45c | 1,090$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.68 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 21c | 950.09$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.27 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed TDK | 49c | 849.94$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.55 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 45c | 586.61$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed TDK | 63c | 584.29$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.93 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 71c | 524.27$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.23 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TDK | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed TDK | 49c | 225$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked TDK | 47c | 216$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed TDK | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lavked | 32c | 186$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TDK | 65c | 172.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 66c | 167.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lavked | 24c | 155.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed TDK | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed TDK | 50c | 147$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TDK | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked | 27c | 123$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked TDK | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Lavked | 35c | 110.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed TDK | 54c | 106.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked TDK | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Lavked | 17c | 100.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked TDK | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Lavked | 39c | 99.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Lavked | 39c | 99.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lavked | 31c | 87.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed TDK | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 42c | 74.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Lavked | 30c | 70.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Lavked | 27c | 69.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed TDK | 50c | 54.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed TDK | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Lavked | 36c | 49.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Lavked | 36c | 49.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f7cfbacked TDK | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Lavked | 29c | 46.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed TDK | 73c | 39.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…b794backed TDK | 56c | 33.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed TDK | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked TDK | 56c | 26.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked TDK | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed TDK | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group StageTDK won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.