Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x128de02c3c36b07adef3614f0ae4db7693bc12b7de0cb4c8582e6c753aa278ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0d…b006backed MOUZ | 41c | 19,855$8,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,201.74 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked MOUZ | 22c | 5,200$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.4 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked MOUZ | 43c | 3,134$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.54 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 3,080$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.1 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 48c | 2,793$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.67 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 2,689$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.09 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 2,483$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.63 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 2,364$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.14 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed MOUZ | 50c | 2,001$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked MOUZ | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ | 44c | 1,998$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.95 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked MOUZ | 38c | 1,803$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.92 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,614$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.26 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,540$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,500$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.6 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 1,412$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.69 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,389$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.21 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,173$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.13 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,105$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.53 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed MOUZ | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…51d7backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 965.15$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.46 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed MOUZ | 49c | 957.12$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.52 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 951.92$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.92 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 907.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.56 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed MOUZ | 31c | 869.22$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.58 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 856.36$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.36 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 782.35$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.35 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…1c20backed MOUZ | 44c | 732.04$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.92 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed MOUZ | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 582.09$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.63 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 549.25$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.25 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed MOUZ | 47c | 538.05$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.24 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked MOUZ | 35c | 529.01$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 528.86$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.61 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…092ebacked MOUZ | 20c | 513.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed MOUZ | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed MOUZ | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 444.44$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.55 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 438.74$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 426.71$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd55…fc45backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 387.35$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.35 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 375.56$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.98 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 375.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked MOUZ | 48c | 364.48$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.95 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 335.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 326.01$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.75 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked MOUZ | 49c | 297.95$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 248.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 245$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MOUZ | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed MOUZ | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked MOUZ | 45c | 198.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9a…6e9ebacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ae…df55backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 192.78$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…f818backed MOUZ | 51c | 192.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1988…80f5backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 188.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 181.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 178.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 171.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…09a3backed MOUZ | 31c | 162.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked MOUZ | 38c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed MOUZ | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed MOUZ | 40c | 139.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked MOUZ | 43c | 137.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x717e…ca8bbacked MOUZ | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed MOUZ | 49c | 106.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed MOUZ | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d34…ddfcbacked MOUZ | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked MOUZ | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 96.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35db…d658backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 46c | 89.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafa…9f46backed MOUZ | 46c | 89.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 84.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e7…7384backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 81.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…5ed7backed MOUZ | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed MOUZ | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 73.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed MOUZ | 52c | 67.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed MOUZ | 50c | 59.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 58.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 57.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed MOUZ | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed MOUZ | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…e0c4backed MOUZ | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed MOUZ | 36c | 41.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cb…4abfbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.