TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,777 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION23c7,000$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,378.361,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION35c4,405$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.771,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed NIP48c3,975$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.1982143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION16c3,202$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.561,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked NIP42c2,866$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed PARIVISION63c2,609$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.034643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed NIP47c2,191$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0229050%45 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed PARIVISION74c2,142$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.7946545.6%212 W · 253 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked PARIVISION56c1,990$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.612465.3%81 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION53c1,940$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.721,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked PARIVISION53c1,650$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77075545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed NIP43c1,200$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51141850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de5…c008backed NIP42c1,105$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed PARIVISION55c909.2$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.210951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION37c848.04$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.144,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54fa…363cbacked NIP56c757.3$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.091450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed PARIVISION63c700$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25958651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked NIP73c698.71$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.1383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed PARIVISION60c663.85$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.853865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked PARIVISION35c625.8$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked PARIVISION19c622.59$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.257035.7%25 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72c4…cfedbacked PARIVISION50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3007042.9%30 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked PARIVISION62c557.46$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.2435550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed PARIVISION54c544.7$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.5610549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked PARIVISION57c521.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.633246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked NIP59c510.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION56c500$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.55,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed NIP63c475.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked NIP46c456.53$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21026438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed NIP46c433.7$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.57955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x217f…5d10backed NIP35c417.12$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.744827.1%13 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x746e…04dabacked NIP46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.677643.4%33 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked PARIVISION53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1886968.1%47 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed PARIVISION18c399.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3281,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed NIP36c379.71$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.349734%33 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d28…9b1cbacked PARIVISION27c350$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.53250%16 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed NIP58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed PARIVISION60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3313146.6%61 W · 70 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION64c325$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11758961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x640f…f197backed PARIVISION31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.584122%9 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked NIP17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509050%45 W · 45 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed PARIVISION64c284.65$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6521247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed PARIVISION59c283.85$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3947741.7%199 W · 278 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x763d…d0f2backed PARIVISION18c274.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.22123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked NIP25c267.91$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7958254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked PARIVISION78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4125070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed PARIVISION67c253.4$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.418265.9%120 W · 62 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2285…3184backed NIP47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed PARIVISION50c249.13$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.131,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked NIP41c246.78$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1823932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ae8…0e50backed NIP17c238.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407741.6%32 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed NIP42c236.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2a0…d7a5backed PARIVISION66c233.96$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.575563.6%35 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8942…9ea9backed PARIVISION52c230.88$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.884949%24 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d6…0c2abacked PARIVISION9c222.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.2211032.7%36 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x286c…caffbacked PARIVISION55c221.65$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.742860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked NIP46c220.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6660953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked NIP40c219.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.25145.1%23 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked PARIVISION43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1147236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed PARIVISION50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012641.3%52 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked PARIVISION45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11015749%77 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed NIP54c185.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked PARIVISION56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5739353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf376…953abacked PARIVISION24c170$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.45236.5%19 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x48ad…4bc9backed PARIVISION59c169.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.972755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed PARIVISION59c169.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9613646.3%63 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bb9…1f8fbacked PARIVISION59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.493348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed PARIVISION26c160$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.49151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION25c149.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6860838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed PARIVISION28c146.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7224155.6%134 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked NIP45c134.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9e…79e4backed PARIVISION59c129.23$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.534360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked NIP47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06fc…74c9backed NIP78c127.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed NIP80c125.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6113…2443backed PARIVISION55c110.33$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.655738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e4d…d116backed PARIVISION51c107.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.844637%17 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x422b…093dbacked PARIVISION43c104.48$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.925066%33 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed PARIVISION69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4552649%258 W · 268 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed PARIVISION54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4614454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked NIP22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215449.4%76 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7839258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed PARIVISION58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.996546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed PARIVISION16c93.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7521437.9%81 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6e…a2d8backed PARIVISION38c92.6$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21aa…4918backed PARIVISION54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked PARIVISION56c80.49$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.498764.4%56 W · 31 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8f8…54bdbacked NIP46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.825350.2%127 W · 126 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked PARIVISION42c79.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9550458.5%295 W · 209 L-1.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked NIP45c77.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.198352.4%515 W · 468 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed NIP46c74.41$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3836554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed NIP54c73.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8269863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed NIP17c70.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba78…bd6cbacked PARIVISION38c69.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.27837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked NIP40c68.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.336347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b0…b21dbacked NIP47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf72…4893backed NIP35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.147321.9%16 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe6f…3224backed PARIVISION75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked NIP38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…2da5backed PARIVISION59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.853240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.