TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,420

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe3d4…2bacbacked NIP78c14,114$11,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,048.8544957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION43c10,363$4,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,926.981,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION33c10,307$3,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,894.6881843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION39c9,766$3,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,987.984,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION57c8,848$5,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,774.383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION23c6,000$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,639.41,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b22…e5f7backed PARIVISION61c5,393$3,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.39875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed PARIVISION45c5,130$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.946345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa0…253cbacked NIP60c4,168$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.1211656.9%66 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked PARIVISION40c3,427$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.7919043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed NIP56c2,578$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.393557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed NIP75c2,455$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.154643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…9ea9backed PARIVISION34c2,334$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.984949%24 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked NIP79c2,170$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71641069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked NIP55c2,150$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.1416448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION37c2,044$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.11,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed PARIVISION21c1,950$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.8534156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked NIP59c1,846$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.3912465.3%81 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed PARIVISION38c1,682$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.879037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked NIP36c1,600$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.0727133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked NIP57c1,340$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.675245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed PARIVISION40c1,303$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.2557647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed PARIVISION10c1,143$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.698749.4%43 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed NIP60c1,048$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.1715249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked PARIVISION38c1,019$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.426438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed NIP31c977.47$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.023333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked PARIVISION46c971.11$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.9132352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422b…093dbacked NIP64c899.93$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.185066%33 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked NIP58c860.87$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.3435550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed NIP57c840$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.241850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed NIP60c782.42$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.3315251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed PARIVISION42c778.32$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.099247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9202…e7d1backed NIP46c737.94$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34340%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked PARIVISION27c670$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.35145.1%23 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked PARIVISION49c635$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.2514142.6%60 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked PARIVISION33c606.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.515547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54fa…363cbacked NIP58c601.72$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3491450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed NIP66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39658651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x877e…b283backed PARIVISION35c571.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.846350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72c4…cfedbacked NIP57c524.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007042.9%30 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b10…5548backed PARIVISION14c500$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4283920.5%8 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed PARIVISION30c499.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3489734%33 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed NIP70c498.51$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35026360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7752…445dbacked NIP58c489.32$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2863951.3%20 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed NIP46c478.36$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6210951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9717…aefabacked PARIVISION22c452.27$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked NIP67c450$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.55143.1%22 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed PARIVISION43c447.2$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.234146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION39c424.72$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.085,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed NIP56c420$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+72.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x746e…04dabacked NIP60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407643.4%33 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed NIP56c399.98$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9911440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed PARIVISION51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1637445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab6b…d9d3backed PARIVISION44c372.3$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.491752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked PARIVISION32c366.18$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.5818443.5%80 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0d…0018backed NIP55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed PARIVISION15c350$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.51,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed PARIVISION44c338$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2841260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed PARIVISION19c310.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.4624155.6%134 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed PARIVISION68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.123865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed NIP52c276.32$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed PARIVISION45c269.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6222560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed NIP50c258.52$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2647641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed PARIVISION39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4113461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed NIP16c239.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2921139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4d…d116backed PARIVISION25c234.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.024637%17 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ad…4bc9backed PARIVISION43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked PARIVISION40c225$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13520936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8280…e451backed NIP58c222.41$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed NIP73c220$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1358961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed NIP34c219.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7539258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed PARIVISION23c217$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0921639.8%86 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde0…c21cbacked PARIVISION42c209$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+70.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked NIP70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14015749%77 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x175b…93aebacked NIP58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11614142.6%60 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked PARIVISION59c198.61$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.438366.3%55 W · 28 L+11.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed NIP53c186.78$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.541747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd19e…e997backed NIP57c179.74$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.453040%12 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION42c178.78$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.931,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba78…bd6cbacked PARIVISION28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed PARIVISION70c174.09$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.237653.9%41 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30df…18d7backed NIP58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd9e…79e4backed PARIVISION35c161.11$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.014360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf376…953abacked PARIVISION20c159.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.65236.5%19 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed PARIVISION70c156.95$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4545455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d6…0c2abacked PARIVISION32c156.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.411032.7%36 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked PARIVISION18c154.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.667035.7%25 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed NIP66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77b9…8f95backed PARIVISION34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992035%7 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION17c150$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.560838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d28…9b1cbacked PARIVISION38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933250%16 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f8…54bdbacked NIP56c144.44$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8125350.2%127 W · 126 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b1…c973backed PARIVISION44c139.94$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.871540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked NIP58c135.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.591,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b60…82e5backed NIP58c134.17$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.822842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked NIP79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed PARIVISION41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.239151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae8…0e50backed NIP13c116.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157741.6%32 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41cb…942dbacked PARIVISION44c113.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.862161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed NIP57c112$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8493261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.