CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b42a87bb6d5d67978295424815af7bd04848dcddd03c9b531cbcf76bfdb2778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda20…948ebacked Under | 49c | 24,498$12,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,493.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5384backed Over | 51c | 23,798$12,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,136.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…99b7backed Over | 51c | 23,055$11,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,758.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…b4e4backed Under | 49c | 22,350$10,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,398.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 59c | 7,060$4,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,172.79 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 56c | 4,205$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.87 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 31c | 3,024$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.37 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Over | 58c | 2,728$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.42 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Under | 17c | 1,804$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.35 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 50c | 1,260$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.41 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Over | 51c | 585$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.89 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 20c | 446$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.62 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb9…1f8fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 49c | 123$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Under | 57c | 103.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Under | 48c | 93.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1ab1backed Over | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…14efbacked Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Over | 51c | 59.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde22…292abacked Under | 59c | 50.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…c116backed Over | 43c | 49.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Over | 51c | 46.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 34c | 40.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Under | 32c | 39.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…c791backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 30c | 39.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 47c | 30.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…50d3backed Over | 79c | 25.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…c4dfbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 268 | 62.3%167 W · 101 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…72f4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)PARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.