TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked No32c11,471$3,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,652.0311355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes70c8,500$5,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.063151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No41c6,000$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.277546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c5,269$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.561,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes57c2,822$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.2314654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No53c2,502$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.9213050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.978041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes52c1,982$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.53475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes53c1,112$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.53348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.675735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes66c756.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.864746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No38c642.76$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.028242.7%35 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No50c638.25$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.3721560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes71c628.45$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1526040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes70c570$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.520232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No20c568.94$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.793026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c457.1$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.641,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc426…b670backed No23c434.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes49c407.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.641060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+57.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes50c399$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes50c371$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.523153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes49c300$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.52055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes67c292.94$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.93887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.44per pick44cpaid+149.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No33c286$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.382755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No54c217.39$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.392832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No50c214.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2633938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa074…f1c9backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221a…55e8backed Yes51c201.13$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes65c184.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.623030%9 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Yes49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes77c158.39$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.43368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Yes48c152.08$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.081353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes66c150.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.993100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes71c125$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.751637.5%6 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-50.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes68c118.28$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.286850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a65…8ab3backed Yes66c101.52$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521850%9 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cfa…7da5backed Yes45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3285…7849backed Yes52c83.77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e9…acdabacked No49c83.63$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…49aabacked Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e4…9d4ebacked Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No27c65.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7424642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33f8…984fbacked Yes77c63.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18d…24ebbacked Yes66c60.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Yes52c57.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.631855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec75…2e8fbacked No33c57.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No41c53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.496743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa455…36bcbacked Yes67c52.73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No39c51.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes44c49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+63.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c61…64e1backed Yes51c47.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb613…35a7backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa484…1607backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf96…7d12backed Yes48c43.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.675446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…60afbacked Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de2…1ebfbacked Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Yes67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked No38c39.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.83580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.463562.9%22 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes67c35.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.65520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-70.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90d7…8c77backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Yes52c31.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.232544%11 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes50c30.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4226845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.773966.7%26 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c5…8cadbacked Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes56c29.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.168976.4%68 W · 21 L+17.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+32.8%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No44c29.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1635037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe02…432ebacked Yes66c29.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes66c28.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.975160.8%31 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa413…e002backed Yes52c23.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105042%21 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ac4…14f1backed Yes64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa462…cab7backed Yes77c13.48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.