TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Yandex (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof MOUZ, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac0d…b006backed Team Yandex41c28,777$11,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,099.7210661.3%65 W · 41 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Team Yandex33c14,238$4,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,539.2410641.5%44 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ59c14,017$8,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,270.1234146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d0…8449backed MOUZ67c7,713$5,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,167.51966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex59c6,172$3,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.212,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ30c5,743$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.980443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f76…3e05backed Team Yandex37c5,186$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.656750.7%34 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed MOUZ59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick59cpaid-71.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed MOUZ59c4,500$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.827645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked MOUZ36c4,000$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42010236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked MOUZ38c3,977$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.3514446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked MOUZ64c3,125$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00041055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed MOUZ37c3,099$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.122560%15 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked MOUZ32c2,639$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.1919246.4%89 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d47…444fbacked MOUZ57c2,554$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4451546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Team Yandex56c2,463$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.2217950.3%90 W · 89 L+14.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team Yandex32c2,374$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.719147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked MOUZ42c2,082$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.9115852.5%83 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed Team Yandex55c2,032$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.924746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex74c1,524$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.521,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed MOUZ67c1,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed MOUZ67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0056261.3%38 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9639936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed MOUZ68c1,475$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012459.7%74 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed MOUZ67c1,461$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.5623465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed MOUZ69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004678.3%36 W · 10 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked MOUZ44c1,387$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.036046.7%28 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Yandex34c1,349$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.4777941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ64c1,200$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76253652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Team Yandex74c1,119$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.3634468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed MOUZ52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Team Yandex31c949.28$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6552740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+36%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked MOUZ61c947.33$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.873655.6%20 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4c…e430backed MOUZ66c888.28$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5894949%24 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked MOUZ15c871.15$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13316149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Yandex64c862.69$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.7986949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ60c829.97$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.2856848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked MOUZ5c673.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359478.7%74 W · 20 L+13.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Team Yandex63c669.99$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5222033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Team Yandex34c575.17$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.3225348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ3c549.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.486169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed Team Yandex66c547.89$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.893666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Team Yandex37c543.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.1820827.9%58 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Yandex31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34511253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed MOUZ26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6f…9934backed MOUZ67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7815…ade8backed Team Yandex36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3203540%14 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Team Yandex34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed MOUZ66c484.85$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205078%39 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ63c479.57$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8255251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed MOUZ64c469.7$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011551.3%59 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64c2…d0afbacked MOUZ62c469.45$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.372657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae2…356bbacked MOUZ67c463.36$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103250%16 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ64c445.42$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.789440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ed…3ae6backed MOUZ66c433.43$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.773458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ61c427.82$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8754445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked MOUZ66c423.62$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804573.3%33 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Team Yandex35c401.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.8613346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Yandex38c383.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9361449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…9ea9backed MOUZ60c368.41$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206943.5%30 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1932…f02bbacked MOUZ5c360$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-59.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked MOUZ60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+58.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed MOUZ37c322.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.534443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked MOUZ47c322.03$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3211534.8%40 W · 75 L-14.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed MOUZ31c313.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.66460.9%39 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed MOUZ66c312.93$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5319856.1%111 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09fc…4cd4backed MOUZ12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36100%0 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked MOUZ42c295$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8913450.7%68 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c61…470fbacked MOUZ52c287.49$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.869544.2%42 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7160552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Yandex76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1635370%247 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Yandex39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.559250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb59b…916bbacked MOUZ26c250$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Team Yandex35c232.49$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.121827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Yandex77c213$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4730138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67a7…1facbacked MOUZ21c204.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+71.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Team Yandex34c199.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13227548%132 W · 143 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7b0…6960backed Team Yandex33c199.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.998055%44 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked MOUZ59c168.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Yandex36c166.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6791356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ad…79a8backed MOUZ37c164.41$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.354055%22 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c20…e02dbacked MOUZ34c163.06$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked MOUZ63c160.59$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.175756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed MOUZ63c159.59$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3419145.5%87 W · 104 L+13.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed MOUZ44c157.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f2…3263backed MOUZ66c152.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006175.4%46 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked MOUZ66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009054.4%49 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x871c…7f0abacked MOUZ66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006068.3%41 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked MOUZ50c150$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.528050%140 W · 140 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…edf8backed MOUZ69c145.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f7d…5769backed MOUZ65c135$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.751844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked MOUZ8c132$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Team Yandex61c130.62$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.675538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed MOUZ32c124.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.349852%51 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da6…107abacked Team Yandex53c120.76$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.342536%9 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fd8…a5bebacked MOUZ50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020339.9%81 W · 122 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb861…27ffbacked MOUZ67c119.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Team Yandex41c119.23$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4114039.3%55 W · 85 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…0b89backed MOUZ42c114.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed MOUZ67c104.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011054.5%60 W · 50 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.