NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x104d7aa115978a1d7eb32ee493edb7d983097a8cff1bd2ec118adff68e8eaab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 2,361$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.6 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46d…aae7backed Under | 1c | 1,980$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 46c | 1,163$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.9 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Under | 70c | 1,130$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 64c | 731.76$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.43 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 41c | 663.76$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.85 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under | 64c | 432.78$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.51 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 38c | 240.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 51c | 196.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 52c | 192.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 155$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 59c | 150.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 56c | 146.87$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 72c | 120.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 77c | 112.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Under | 75c | 86.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…6754backed Under | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 31c | 76.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Under | 55c | 71.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 75c | 65.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 26c | 64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 57c | 58.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…0af4backed Over | 32c | 54.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 55c | 45.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 40c | 43.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 42.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 51c | 38.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 36c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 74c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 50c | 30.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 71c | 22.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e67…5b07backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 62c | 19.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 61c | 17.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…ec77backed Under | 72c | 17.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14c…bd74backed Under | 72c | 16.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa339…c539backed Under | 72c | 14.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Utah: O/U 7.5this page
- Blues vs. UtahBlues won
- Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Blues won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.