CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7a0546baa91f33d326c122c162985b01577d238de185f11528b69035af5b40a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof MANA eSports, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked MANA eSports | 49c | 2,018$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.98 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Bebop | 52c | 1,959$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.7 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Bebop | 49c | 1,618$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.25 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MANA eSports | 47c | 1,414$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.5 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Bebop | 51c | 813.35$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.73 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bebop | 52c | 776.64$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc9…00a6backed MANA eSports | 48c | 399.63$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MANA eSports | 51c | 392.64$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.29 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bebop | 50c | 341.21$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.61 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0794…b2e0backed MANA eSports | 50c | 264.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed MANA eSports | 49c | 242.35$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…83e0backed Bebop | 53c | 239.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed MANA eSports | 48c | 232.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bebop | 76c | 222.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed MANA eSports | 16c | 185.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed MANA eSports | 49c | 167.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked MANA eSports | 48c | 167$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…3ce5backed MANA eSports | 48c | 163.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bebop | 72c | 155.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed MANA eSports | 52c | 135.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MANA eSports | 18c | 133.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…cd40backed MANA eSports | 49c | 106.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed MANA eSports | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed MANA eSports | 24c | 97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed MANA eSports | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked MANA eSports | 48c | 80.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Bebop | 52c | 77.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed MANA eSports | 47c | 62.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…a264backed MANA eSports | 24c | 59.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Bebop | 54c | 59.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Bebop | 48c | 58.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 350 | 43.1%151 W · 199 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked MANA eSports | 37c | 56.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Bebop | 51c | 56.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed MANA eSports | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Bebop | 47c | 42.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked MANA eSports | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Bebop | 54c | 38.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked MANA eSports | 54c | 36.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed MANA eSports | 54c | 35.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Bebop | 48c | 29.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 158 | 64.6%102 W · 56 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 64c | 26.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…af78backed MANA eSports | 46c | 23.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked Bebop | 53c | 22.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…1e7cbacked Bebop | 76c | 21.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed MANA eSports | 49c | 20.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerBebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.