CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x595035bfad0934739f0b1e1b25d350c5526aad718a209188782b42c7d66c9874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof MOUZ NXT, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 4,179$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.96 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 3,750$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.82 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 2,900$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed MOUZ NXT | 16c | 2,845$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 2,539$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.84 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked ex-RUBY | 52c | 1,686$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.08 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 49c | 1,177$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.19 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 563.15$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.62 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 469.96$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.37 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 456.59$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.42 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 404.84$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…90c2backed MOUZ NXT | 61c | 397.73$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.33 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0358…30e2backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 325.01$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 312.43$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed ex-RUBY | 47c | 289.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.76 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 289.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 63c | 241.74$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 215.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 211.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 198.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 192.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed MOUZ NXT | 28c | 191.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 174 | 31%54 W · 120 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 144.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked MOUZ NXT | 26c | 140.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 139.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 113.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed MOUZ NXT | 70c | 98.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed MOUZ NXT | 15c | 97.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed MOUZ NXT | 30c | 95.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 85.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed ex-RUBY | 70c | 70.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 67.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed ex-RUBY | 79c | 62.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…b68dbacked MOUZ NXT | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 57.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 43.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…a264backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 42.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked ex-RUBY | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed MOUZ NXT | 75c | 36.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 32.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed MOUZ NXT | 71c | 31.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed ex-RUBY | 74c | 29.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 28.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 28.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ex-RUBY | 36c | 27.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 26.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 23.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked ex-RUBY | 72c | 22.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 21.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed MOUZ NXT | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked ex-RUBY | 71c | 17.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed ex-RUBY | 74c | 17.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 17.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 17.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed ex-RUBY | 75c | 17.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed ex-RUBY | 76c | 16.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked ex-RUBY | 76c | 16.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed ex-RUBY | 76c | 16.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ex-RUBY | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 15.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)ex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.