CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b662d9a2318ba5825d65f788d269f6f9333f394c628210f92b699edd1d90a3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof MOUZ NXT, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed ex-RUBY | 42c | 4,444$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.83 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 2,575$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.35 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked ex-RUBY | 49c | 2,226$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.06 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 1,812$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.25 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 1,048$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.43 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ NXT | 47c | 1,041$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.64 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 634.43$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.01 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 630.78$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.52 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 548.46$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.13 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 525.15$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.46 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 402 | 34.6%139 W · 263 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 436.73$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.84 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 414.43$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.65 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 393.87$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 318.63$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked ex-RUBY | 52c | 297.77$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.4 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 279.63$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 255.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 239.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 220$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 215.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…b153backed ex-RUBY | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 155.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 131.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed ex-RUBY | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 123.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…9af6backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 104.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 102.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed MOUZ NXT | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 95.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 79.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 66.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed ex-RUBY | 76c | 64.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed MOUZ NXT | 62c | 64.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…c16fbacked ex-RUBY | 48c | 60.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 58.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked MOUZ NXT | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 51.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 44.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 43.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked MOUZ NXT | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…71a1backed ex-RUBY | 43c | 41.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 34.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked MOUZ NXT | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 412 | 54.9%226 W · 186 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed MOUZ NXT | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked ex-RUBY | 43c | 29.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 28.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ex-RUBY | 48c | 24.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked MOUZ NXT | 47c | 24.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 24.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…41a5backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)ex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.