Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2495448f940500a6ebe5bfbf79276a4eda971ad81c6d76da6dad17cca2d9ad30

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $118,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $127,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,377 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9770…0ff5backed Over	52c	17,133$8,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,224.02	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	51c	11,475$5,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,807.62	466	44.8%209 W · 257 L	-23.0wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under	48c	10,772$5,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,176.53	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Under	50c	10,050$5,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,025	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under	50c	4,504$2,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,252	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5d…d917backed Under	52c	4,342$2,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,253.65	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over	50c	3,540$1,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,770	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over	49c	2,983$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,522.93	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+33%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over	49c	2,832$1,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,445.8	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over	50c	2,453$1,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,226.5	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed Under	56c	2,204$1,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,230.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over	48c	1,794$861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$932.74	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over	59c	1,779$1,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.54	140	60.7%85 W · 55 L	+19.7wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+31%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	47c	1,718$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.33	478	50.8%243 W · 235 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over	50c	1,622$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810.95	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over	50c	1,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under	8c	1,443$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.13	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+179.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	51c	1,400$712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under	40c	1,211$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under	39c	1,132$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.33	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	44c	1,129$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.18	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d12…16c3backed Under	53c	1,102$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.7	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under	2c	928.54$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.57	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	26c	877.45$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.83	198	49%97 W · 101 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Under	52c	800$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.24per pick	45cpaid	+170%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under	51c	780.28$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	18c	715.95$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.02	106	33%35 W · 71 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over	77c	651.79$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.79	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	51c	639.54$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.05	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over	50c	612.66$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.33	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	14c	599.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	135	40.7%55 W · 80 L	-8.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	49c	580.83$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.84	107	57.9%62 W · 45 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over	57c	579.2$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.29	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under	52c	576.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over	46c	544.02$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.02	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+4.7wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	59c	507.13$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	86	25.6%22 W · 64 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1891…fd78backed Over	43c	500$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+97.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	48c	497.52$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.47	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over	50c	450$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	41c	435.98$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.44	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	47c	425$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.25	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	40c	417.61$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.29	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Under	49c	416.55$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	49c	407.27$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.53	324	53.1%172 W · 152 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bb…98b3backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+3.7wins	+0.22per pick	54cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+3.6wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	38c	395.5$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.24	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0565…14d9backed Over	57c	390.25$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.26	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Under	51c	386.1$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.91	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+77.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	51c	380.15$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.17	349	37.8%132 W · 217 L	-13.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over	76c	344.08$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.5	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over	61c	321.23$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.33	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	37c	308.27$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.89	149	51%76 W · 73 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	51c	299.99$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.93	110	57.3%63 W · 47 L	+7.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	66c	287.89$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.45	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	+8.0wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe29f…b2f0backed Under	23c	284.71$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.87	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+19%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under	54c	280.65$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.55	83	27.7%23 W · 60 L	-10.2wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Over	65c	255.22$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.33	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over	50c	250$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.8wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over	50c	250$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.9wins	+0.22per pick	51cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over	49c	244.9$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.9	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	41c	240.84$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.72	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	69c	237.74$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.76	309	54.7%169 W · 140 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	43c	230.23$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.23	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…7e96backed Under	49c	220$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ec…fee1backed Under	52c	220$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c7…e97cbacked Over	48c	218.7$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.72	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8856…9c97backed Over	48c	218.3$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.52	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00c…b554backed Under	52c	217$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x769b…939dbacked Over	48c	216.49$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.57	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2610…342bbacked Under	52c	213$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over	48c	210$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.2	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over	48c	210$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.2	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ac…2163backed Under	52c	210$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebd…065dbacked Over	48c	208.75$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.55	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578a…6f10backed Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e8a…3126backed Over	48c	205.2$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9725…c1c0backed Under	52c	205$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7088…e29dbacked Over	48c	201.72$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.89	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d1f…d888backed Under	52c	201$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under	52c	200.49$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b5…56cdbacked Over	62c	200$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b4…168fbacked Under	64c	200$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	36c	200$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-5.6wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x030b…d9c1backed Under	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over	30c	200$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	77	39%30 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…6a0fbacked Over	48c	197.51$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.71	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ac…85bebacked Over	48c	196.28$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.07	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330c…d880backed Under	52c	196$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	50c	196$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5this page
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Melbourne Victory FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event