Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dd19fd8eec8cdadb4fd4053594aca018bcced9a84d397cbcebba03117d68158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 324.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 28c | 217.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 29c | 159.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 70c | 89.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Yes | 72c | 82.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 28c | 78.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…5a18backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…7231backed Yes | 71c | 70.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 72c | 69.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Yes | 71c | 67.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 66c | 62.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 72c | 54.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 71c | 49.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…b7f8backed No | 30c | 47.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Yes | 71c | 45.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…d849backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked Yes | 73c | 19.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.