Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x830bb5d93a30c9b0fe9369cb5c13ff2a51ad46509ddb89fb38d3f183d37867f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Newcastle United Jets FCof Melbourne Victory FC, Newcastle United Jets FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 4,077$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.84 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 73c | 3,274$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.49 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 2,771$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…99eabacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 2,511$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 1,750$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 1,172$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.49 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 1,171$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.48 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 1,146$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.48 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Melbourne Victory FC | 29c | 660.17$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 451.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 450$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 311.87$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Melbourne Victory FC | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 293.88$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Melbourne Victory FC | 23c | 208$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 178.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 172.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 164.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 156.54$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 120.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 111$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 69c | 110.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 104$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 85.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Melbourne Victory FC | 26c | 78.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 74.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Melbourne Victory FC | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Melbourne Victory FC | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 51.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 40.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Melbourne Victory FC | 31c | 35.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 71c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 34.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 34.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 74c | 32.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1188…cd0bbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 28.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 71c | 27.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 25.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 14.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…409fbacked Newcastle United Jets FC | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)this page
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Melbourne Victory FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.