TailMyPicks

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Euroleague · resolved market

Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Beijing Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Beijing Ducksof Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin, Beijing Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf658…655ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin49c4,370$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.425360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Beijing Ducks66c3,673$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.7613046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Beijing Ducks62c2,551$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.225151%26 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x623b…8facbacked Beijing Ducks57c2,161$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf793…6265backed Beijing Ducks65c2,118$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.96366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin40c1,449$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.033063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Beijing Ducks75c1,406$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.5116828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin31c1,158$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.7935234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Beijing Ducks73c1,104$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.883834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin47c1,104$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.558936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin24c1,037$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.9114037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin29c925.02$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3443543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin40c813$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.24148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin37c807.31$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.728943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Beijing Ducks60c799.28$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3232040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin37c593.44$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5724430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x335e…f71abacked Beijing Ducks73c527.49$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+59.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin28c523.87$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7821535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin35c473.61$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8254251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c6…c164backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin46c417.96$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin32c362.73$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.854551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Beijing Ducks60c325.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.133243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Beijing Ducks71c304.58$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.465648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin38c291.94$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2134344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin40c275.64$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.179851%50 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin39c270.42$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.774042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin28c269.39$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5710926.6%29 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin28c251.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.814740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8b…8784backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin33c240.49$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin38c237.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.121145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98be…ce69backed Beijing Ducks50c199.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Beijing Ducks69c195.62$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.075848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Beijing Ducks69c191.68$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1431651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin30c191.54$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.542245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Beijing Ducks55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.611968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd3…0d61backed Beijing Ducks77c174.6$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.484165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin38c171$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.983933.3%13 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin44c160.93$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.548845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Beijing Ducks59c154.3$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3319748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin28c134.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.33737.8%14 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin31c103.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6325517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9781…e481backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb191…e770backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin20c99.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin39c98.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.541163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Beijing Ducks80c95.36$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.53740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c6…2a42backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin29c88.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin27c87.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8520936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed90…d1ffbacked Beijing Ducks66c74.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.43955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin34c71.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.935628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Beijing Ducks71c70.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4936939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Beijing Ducks72c69.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+124.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked Beijing Ducks76c69.11$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce22…5704backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin42c66.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.71520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Beijing Ducks61c66.18$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.662536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Beijing Ducks55c65.1$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.34374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin40c64.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.095541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin38c64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.522254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin39c61.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.146142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd33…5452backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin25c58.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin39c56.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.111855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin40c56.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Beijing Ducks61c56.19$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.013161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3597…3e48backed Beijing Ducks54c55.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.55742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin32c54.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.66119.7%12 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0c0…2489backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin38c53.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Beijing Ducks55c52.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.432040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin41c51.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2926935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db7…a264backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin39c49.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Beijing Ducks73c49.19$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.285666.1%37 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Beijing Ducks63c46.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.375453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin29c45.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.06728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin30c43.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.924242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Beijing Ducks55c40.87$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Beijing Ducks63c40.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.831127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-61%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x104d…3330backed Beijing Ducks79c37.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.88580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin38c35.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.826544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Beijing Ducks59c33.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.933943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Beijing Ducks54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.83764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.127338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc18…9b6ebacked Beijing Ducks74c29.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7395…fdeebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin38c29.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.322356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Beijing Ducks68c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2810947.7%52 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin38c28.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.895642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d1…074bbacked Beijing Ducks62c26.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.183043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Beijing Ducks72c26.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.341172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Beijing Ducks77c22.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.176100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Beijing Ducks58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Beijing Ducks77c18.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.24742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Beijing Ducks61c18.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.137356.2%41 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.