CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: regain vs Akimbo Esports (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2bb03225764e3c8b24c1098714e91a3b4dcebe96643cc738c4ed185b2df9758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akimbo Esportsof regain, Akimbo Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked regain | 38c | 460.51$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.18 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked regain | 50c | 451.87$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.82 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed regain | 63c | 310.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2548…17a3backed Akimbo Esports | 54c | 266.13$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.29 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Akimbo Esports | 57c | 236.58$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed regain | 38c | 236.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.21 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Akimbo Esports | 66c | 218.43$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Akimbo Esports | 50c | 211.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Akimbo Esports | 63c | 145.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Akimbo Esports | 43c | 138.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed regain | 43c | 134.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Akimbo Esports | 61c | 109.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed regain | 53c | 73.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed regain | 43c | 66.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Akimbo Esports | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed regain | 64c | 59.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…a264backed regain | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked regain | 35c | 56.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed regain | 60c | 47.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked regain | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3ddebacked Akimbo Esports | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…2ea5backed regain | 39c | 37.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Akimbo Esports | 36c | 35.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed regain | 39c | 32.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Akimbo Esports | 36c | 29.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Akimbo Esports | 45c | 28.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Akimbo Esports | 43c | 28.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…5a82backed regain | 43c | 24.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed regain | 64c | 23.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5b…4abbbacked Akimbo Esports | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Akimbo Esports | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.