MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd89744501d653ca03619f94c415bbc037048fbf066e4ec455d6cd2cfa6b574a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 50c | 104,118$52,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,444.05 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 50c | 85,000$42,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,850 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,499.96 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Under | 52c | 39,720$20,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,785.62 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 35,242$16,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,377.68 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 49c | 18,579$9,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,474.54 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over | 48c | 14,260$6,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,415.2 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 10,951$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,617.37 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 10,603$5,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,331.69 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Under | 72c | 10,565$7,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.24 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 29c | 10,162$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,184.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 48c | 9,039$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.43 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 49c | 7,965$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.14 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 7,931$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,967.52 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 49c | 7,525$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.37 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 49c | 7,200$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648.84 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 50c | 6,653$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.61 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 49c | 5,239$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.71 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 51c | 4,897$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.34 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 4,619$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.18 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 52c | 4,296$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.76 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…288ebacked Over | 48c | 3,841$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 52c | 2,914$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.07 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 26c | 2,756$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.55 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 64c | 2,712$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.33 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 40c | 2,709$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.18 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 49c | 2,493$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.3 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Over | 49c | 1,874$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 49c | 1,665$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.81 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 1,639$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.64 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,267$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.14 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 1,256$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 61c | 1,201$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.44 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 49c | 1,029$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.47 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…2294backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 987.19$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.6 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 51c | 969.88$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.29 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.78 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 891.79$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.28 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 50c | 868$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 51c | 846.34$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.64 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 49c | 819.14$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.59 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 51c | 784$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 40c | 738.72$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 68c | 718.27$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.49 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 36c | 697$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…78ebbacked Over | 49c | 692.43$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 51c | 687$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.37 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 52c | 663.22$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.87 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 50c | 636.16$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 48c | 624.41$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.68 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 53c | 510.64$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.64 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2da…69b8backed Under | 54c | 504.21$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec1…3e1ebacked Over | 47c | 494.4$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 62c | 480.35$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Under | 50c | 476.76$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.38 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 49c | 441.06$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.13 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 51c | 380.61$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.11 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 50c | 371.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.11 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 42c | 358.27$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 49c | 345.29$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.63 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 49c | 344.24$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.56 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 330.64$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 52c | 310.42$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 49c | 306.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.97 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 50c | 295.94$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.98 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 62c | 274.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.51 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 239.11$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.34 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 50c | 233$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 51c | 228.38$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 47c | 216.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 205.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 49c | 202.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 52c | 199.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 182.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.61 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 68c | 181.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 60c | 181.03$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 51c | 171.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 54c | 157.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Under | 53c | 124.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Under | 52c | 117.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 116.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…d047backed Over | 53c | 114.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 52c | 103$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 47c | 102.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 49c | 100.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 38c | 100.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…5e39backed Under | 52c | 100.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 49c | 98.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b8…8924backed Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 49c | 95.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 52c | 94.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Over | 50c | 87.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 13.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 16.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.