MLB · resolved market
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e9ff97f301d4e0475c8d57eeca49c577bf25d00486e08b05ffc15934b7464e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Kansas City Royals, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 3,664$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.42 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 3,485$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.42 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.98 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 885.66$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.55 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 539.75$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.59 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 532.79$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 371.99$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 309.94$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 275.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 271.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 208.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 188.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 172.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf0…21efbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 161.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 151.58$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Detroit Tigers | 80c | 137.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 133.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 126.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 125.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 123.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 93.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 80.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 79.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Kansas City Royals | 35c | 78.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers | 74c | 76.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 70.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 70.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 69.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 66.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 66.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 66.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 66.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 66.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 66.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 63.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 59.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 56.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 55.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 49.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 44.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 37.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked Detroit Tigers | 68c | 36.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 35.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Kansas City Royals | 62c | 28.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 25.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…9af6backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 24.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 23.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 22.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 18.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 13.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 16.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.