MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7d922a5bf7057adcdca91e0bc99530d9da55ad5eaf4643f7ecca65d6ea78811
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Detroit Tigers, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas City Royals | 67c | 2,934$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.08 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 2,170$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.09 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 2,089$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.62 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Detroit Tigers | 60c | 1,016$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.61 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 914.89$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 60c | 898.92$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.35 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 883.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers | 66c | 593.81$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.81 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 551.58$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.02 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 500.98$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.32 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 394.03$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Kansas City Royals | 68c | 346.2$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.78 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 309.03$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Detroit Tigers | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 297.83$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 289.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 279.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 259.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 251.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.7 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 223.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 200.54$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 179.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Detroit Tigers | 33c | 176.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 166.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 166.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Detroit Tigers | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…523bbacked Kansas City Royals | 67c | 126.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 120.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 116.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Detroit Tigers | 33c | 116.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 79.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Kansas City Royals | 70c | 69.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 57.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8050…a265backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 50.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 65cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 47.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 47.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Detroit Tigers | 33c | 44.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 43.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 42.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Detroit Tigers | 33c | 42.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…05d8backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 40.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Kansas City Royals | 68c | 39.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Detroit Tigers | 33c | 37.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 37.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 69c | 22.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a3…8d74backed Kansas City Royals | 68c | 21.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee7…0f4abacked Kansas City Royals | 69c | 20.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Kansas City Royals | 69c | 14.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 13.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 16.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.