CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Aurora Young Blood (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x153516f2d7b9067bdf8696b3b397031626852162ce4da6bc886c8f8dbfeed828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Young Bloodof RoundsGG, Aurora Young Blood
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 2,570$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.72 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed RoundsGG | 45c | 1,857$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.35 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 1,760$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.99 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked RoundsGG | 45c | 1,294$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.01 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 999$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.55 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked RoundsGG | 45c | 967$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.15 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed RoundsGG | 45c | 491.6$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.22 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Aurora Young Blood | 57c | 351.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 652 | 54.3%354 W · 298 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 293.4$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 282.22$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed RoundsGG | 45c | 145.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…a264backed RoundsGG | 45c | 64.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed RoundsGG | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5588backed RoundsGG | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…cf73backed RoundsGG | 45c | 42.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd102…1967backed RoundsGG | 45c | 42.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…24efbacked RoundsGG | 45c | 42.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…05d7backed RoundsGG | 45c | 42.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3e…2b90backed RoundsGG | 45c | 25.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.