CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ESC Gaming (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b11cf62ce4a12524b2b7537c3a91d812960722eaaadeeb0cf03aaf98b5ddff0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, ESC Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed KOLESIE | 57c | 855.63$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.56 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed ESC Gaming | 43c | 823.86$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.26 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed ESC Gaming | 50c | 773.61$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.62 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KOLESIE | 65c | 770.68$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.24 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed KOLESIE | 50c | 573.93$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.11 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950c…e503backed KOLESIE | 55c | 535.15$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f19…8ce4backed ESC Gaming | 44c | 531.52$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed KOLESIE | 47c | 519.38$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.27 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…790dbacked KOLESIE | 56c | 501.4$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked KOLESIE | 49c | 500.92$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed ESC Gaming | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ESC Gaming | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…2de7backed ESC Gaming | 43c | 497.39$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KOLESIE | 51c | 454.47$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.44 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…eaa8backed ESC Gaming | 48c | 357.25$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked KOLESIE | 47c | 276.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked KOLESIE | 40c | 228.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.87 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed KOLESIE | 36c | 225.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8413…0ddabacked ESC Gaming | 53c | 134.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked ESC Gaming | 58c | 127.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed ESC Gaming | 68c | 113.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed ESC Gaming | 53c | 97.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed ESC Gaming | 74c | 93.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked ESC Gaming | 11c | 91.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed KOLESIE | 35c | 89.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked ESC Gaming | 53c | 80.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked KOLESIE | 42c | 76.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed ESC Gaming | 50c | 75.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KOLESIE | 22c | 66.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…a264backed ESC Gaming | 37c | 66.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked KOLESIE | 49c | 63.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KOLESIE | 28c | 62.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed ESC Gaming | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…5a82backed KOLESIE | 41c | 56.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed ESC Gaming | 35c | 54.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5588backed ESC Gaming | 36c | 53.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…05d7backed ESC Gaming | 36c | 53.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd102…1967backed ESC Gaming | 36c | 53.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…24efbacked ESC Gaming | 36c | 53.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed KOLESIE | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed ESC Gaming | 52c | 48.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…cf73backed ESC Gaming | 40c | 48.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed KOLESIE | 61c | 44.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ESC Gaming | 71c | 42.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed KOLESIE | 56c | 34.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3e…2b90backed ESC Gaming | 36c | 31.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked KOLESIE | 64c | 23.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…2918backed ESC Gaming | 78c | 20.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed ESC Gaming | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.