Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c9f820d0ce9e8b144cf8ceed530bdd882658c7a3255acb69726bb9cda1211f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53d3…ba87backed Yes | 0c | 32,220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 8,723$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.59 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 15c | 6,189$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.38 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Yes | 0c | 2,577$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 15c | 2,278$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.82 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 1,778$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…b7a9backed Yes | 15c | 1,620$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 6c | 1,322$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 6c | 1,204$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c79…8fffbacked Yes | 15c | 889.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 805$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…4375backed Yes | 6c | 660.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 474.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 14c | 375.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…cddbbacked Yes | 16c | 353.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…2f38backed Yes | 14c | 338.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 16c | 296.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 5c | 245.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Yes | 17c | 232.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes | 15c | 215.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Yes | 15c | 207.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc5…eb41backed Yes | 14c | 203.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 14c | 192.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 14c | 192.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 14c | 189.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3173…10ebbacked Yes | 16c | 185.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Yes | 16c | 178.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 14c | 176.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 14c | 173.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Yes | 14c | 169.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 15c | 149.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes | 16c | 148.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 14c | 142.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 16c | 118$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fe…627fbacked Yes | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 16c | 109.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked Yes | 15c | 102.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked Yes | 14c | 101.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 16c | 90.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 15c | 87.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…340bbacked Yes | 16c | 87.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf17c…503fbacked Yes | 17c | 82.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 15c | 72.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Yes | 15c | 66.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…5aa6backed Yes | 16c | 65.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.