Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11b4ea8bcc059e07eb9f1c967851507480532ddd5b7629bdb7bf5ed0b1d6491c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 5c | 2,492$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.1 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 77c | 1,402$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.42 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 74cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked No | 78c | 710.29$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 607.71$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.85 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 24c | 596.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.16 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed No | 77c | 512.31$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 363.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 12c | 359$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de3…2fc5backed No | 77c | 353.06$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…77b5backed Yes | 13c | 254.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 23c | 244.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 22c | 233.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed No | 78c | 226.96$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 77c | 197.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 22c | 182.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 141.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…3203backed Yes | 24c | 122.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 76c | 119.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 23c | 100.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 226 | 58.8%133 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 23c | 95.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 23c | 92.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 80c | 88.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 77c | 84.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Yes | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 24c | 75.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 22c | 68.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfc…5c8ebacked Yes | 23c | 68.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes | 24c | 67.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 23c | 53.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 22c | 52.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 229 | 61.6%141 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 77c | 49.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 23c | 47.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…1ddabacked Yes | 23c | 45.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes | 24c | 43.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8be6backed No | 73c | 21.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 73c | 18.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked No | 77c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.